The 23rd annual Screen Actors Guild Awards will be airing live this evening, which means it’s time to publish my final predictions for tonight’s show!
This is tough. I’m ruling out Hidden Figures and Captain Fantastic, mostly because these two films received the least amount of nominations and weren’t distributed to SAG-AFTRA members via DVD. It’s down to Moonlight, Manchester by the Sea, and Fences. Gonna give the slight edge to Moonlight, considering it is the strongest Best Picture contender of the three.
Another tough call. This is between Casey Affleck and Denzel Washington. Washington gives the showier performance based on a play, that may appeal to SAG members more than the subtle, understated performance of Affleck. However, Affleck has already won the Critics Choice and Golden Globe. Seems like SAG is just another win on his way to the Oscar, plus Manchester by the Sea has 4 SAG nominations tonight, Fences has 3. Going with Affleck.
A closer race at the Oscars than here at SAG. Emma Stone, who won the Golden Globe for Best Actress Comedy/Musical, is seen as the clear favorite here who plays a young women playing a struggling actress in Los Angeles, something that SAG-AFTRA members can easily relate to. Slight possibility for Portman, but she lost the Golden Globe to Isabelle Huppert, who isn’t even nominated at SAG. I predict Stone.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
A bit tricky. The Golden Globe winner isn’t even nominated at SAG. Mahershala Ali won Critics Choice and Moonlight received 3 nominations. If Moonlight wins ensemble, which I predict it will, Ali may just go along for the ride. Possibilities for Patel or Bridges to upset, but I’m going to play it safe with Ali.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Viola Davis. This is the one category that is a lock. Williams, Harris, Kidman, and Spencer are just happy to be there and be nominated.